All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Joe Harvey Circle City Conference |
Hamilton County |
THSB State Preview |
Indiana Catholic Championship |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Noblesville JV Meet |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/21 |
8/31 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/7 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
430 |
331 |
438 |
754 |
414 |
371 |
365 |
|
635 |
461 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
331 |
438 |
700 |
414 |
371 |
365 |
|
473 |
461 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Joe Harvey Circle City Conference |
Hamilton County |
THSB State Preview |
Indiana Catholic Championship |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Noblesville JV Meet |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 54 |
Ethan Hines |
11 |
16:20 |
16:17 |
18:30 |
17:57 |
16:30 |
16:27 |
16:26 |
|
|
16:20 |
16:17 |
16:13 |
| 205 |
Jack Weber |
11 |
17:02 |
16:52 |
17:03 |
18:24 |
16:42 |
16:46 |
16:37 |
|
|
17:51 |
|
|
| 260 |
Ben Grissom |
10 |
17:15 |
17:00 |
17:02 |
18:09 |
17:18 |
16:58 |
17:03 |
|
17:29 |
17:14 |
|
|
| 274 |
Johnny King |
10 |
17:17 |
17:16 |
17:26 |
|
17:22 |
17:13 |
17:17 |
|
17:16 |
17:14 |
|
|
| 314 |
Evan McNeany |
12 |
17:24 |
16:42 |
17:05 |
17:58 |
17:11 |
17:07 |
17:02 |
|
17:50 |
18:06 |
|
|
| 363 |
Christian Geary |
12 |
17:30 |
17:05 |
16:56 |
17:58 |
17:36 |
18:02 |
17:40 |
|
17:48 |
17:12 |
|
|
| 561 |
Carson Hess |
9 |
17:51 |
17:58 |
|
|
18:03 |
18:04 |
17:52 |
|
17:42 |
17:42 |
|
|
| 681 |
Patrick Mcparland |
10 |
18:04 |
18:26 |
18:25 |
|
18:09 |
17:53 |
18:10 |
|
17:45 |
|
|
|
| 772 |
Luke Moster |
9 |
18:13 |
17:34 |
17:48 |
17:40 |
|
19:33 |
18:16 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
|
| 842 |
William Gebhardt |
9 |
18:19 |
18:29 |
17:52 |
17:57 |
18:11 |
18:33 |
18:14 |
|
18:47 |
|
|
|
| 1,183 |
Luke Woods |
9 |
18:46 |
18:38 |
18:45 |
|
|
18:48 |
|
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,319 |
Nathan Traub |
11 |
18:57 |
18:15 |
18:56 |
18:42 |
18:34 |
19:04 |
21:13 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
|
|
Luke Ross |
9 |
19:00 |
18:58 |
|
19:07 |
18:39 |
18:47 |
19:50 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
John Museck |
11 |
19:09 |
19:13 |
20:29 |
19:16 |
19:09 |
|
18:52 |
19:01 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.1 |
154 |
|
|
1.0 |
6.1 |
17.8 |
34.1 |
40.5 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.9 |
91 |
|
0.9 |
11.0 |
88.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Hines |
85.7% |
52.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
85.7% |
85.7% |
| Jack Weber |
0.3% |
105.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Hines |
100% |
19.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Jack Weber |
61.3% |
61.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
61.3% |
61.3% |
| Ben Grissom |
16.0% |
72.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.0% |
16.0% |
| Johnny King |
10.5% |
75.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.5% |
10.5% |
| Evan McNeany |
2.5% |
79.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.5% |
2.5% |
| Christian Geary |
0.5% |
82.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
0.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Hines |
100% |
12.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
9.6 |
8.5 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Weber |
100% |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Ben Grissom |
100% |
39.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Johnny King |
100% |
40.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Evan McNeany |
100% |
46.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Christian Geary |
100% |
50.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Carson Hess |
100% |
60.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Hines |
6.9 |
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
8.6 |
10.9 |
12.5 |
19.6 |
17.9 |
10.4 |
6.1 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Weber |
16.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
3.2 |
7.4 |
14.3 |
17.0 |
14.4 |
11.8 |
8.7 |
7.1 |
4.8 |
3.3 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
| Ben Grissom |
20.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
4.5 |
7.8 |
9.4 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
| Johnny King |
21.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
5.3 |
7.2 |
8.7 |
9.4 |
10.0 |
10.4 |
9.8 |
9.0 |
8.1 |
| Evan McNeany |
24.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
7.9 |
9.7 |
11.1 |
10.1 |
| Christian Geary |
26.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.7 |
8.1 |
10.0 |
| Carson Hess |
29.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
|
